Why would Hurricane “Lidia” be fatal for Vallarta if it enters through Nayarit?

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It seems that everything is ready for tropical storm “Lidia” to become a hurricane and hit a point between Nayarit and Jalisco.

It does not matter how many hurricanes develop during the storm, but rather the number that makes landfall, so if “Lidia” enters through a port, as is the case in Vallarta, the damage would be great.

It seems that everything is ready for tropical storm “Lidia” to become a hurricane and hit a point between Nayarit and Jalisco, according to the forecast prepared by the National Meteorological Service (SMN), the official climate source of the Government of Mexico.

The wide circulation of the tropical storm “Lidia” will reinforce the probability of very heavy rains to intense punctually in Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, Nayarit and Jalisco, in addition wind with strong gusts and high waves are expected on the coasts of Baja California Sur.

According to the forecast, “Lidia” will reach category 1 as a hurricane around 06:00 a.m. today, Tuesday, October 10, when it will be 290 km west of Cabo Corrientes and 345 km west of Playa Pérula, Jalisco.

But it will not be until 6:00 p.m., on the same Tuesday, when “Lidia” is a category 2 hurricane, the highest level predicted, when it is located 65 km west-southwest of San Blas, Nayarit, and 110 km north-northwest of Cabo Corrientes, Jalisco.

Why is it dangerous for Puerto Vallarta if “Lidia” enters through Nayarit?

Meteorologist Víctor Manuel Cornejo López said that the predicted trajectory for “Lidia” was drawn in the vicinity of Punta de Mita, Nayarit.

But he pointed out that, if this were the case, it would be dangerous “because if a cyclone enters Punta de Mita, the front right sector would enter the bay and that would be the worst scenario” for Puerto Vallarta.

Although the specialist stated that, even for experienced meteorologists, it is difficult to predict the path of a cyclone.

So far, he stated for Radio Universidad Puerto Vallarta, the forecast entry trajectory of the central zone of the cyclone is located between Santiago Ixcuintla and Acaponeta, Nayarit. “We would have to be very careful with that area,” he noted, while commenting that they should already be making preparations for that direction.

However, he insisted that Hurricane “Lidia” could change this forecast at any time.

Cornejo López shared that the Nayarit sea is shallow, that is, it has little depth and is very hot, so it is very likely that tropical storm “Lidia” will become a hurricane in the next few hours. Its effects would be felt especially today, Tuesday and during the early hours of Wednesday.

The teacher recalled that it does not matter how many hurricanes develop during the storm, but the number that makes landfall. He indicated that the expectation is that the cyclones would enter through unpopulated areas, so if “Lidia” enters through a port, as is the case in Vallarta, the damage would be great.

Source: Informador