A third tropical disturbance — this time in the Gulf of Mexico — was added Tuesday night to the tracking list of forecasters watching two other systems moseying across the Atlantic.
Here’s what the National Hurricane Center Hurricane Specialist Dr. Lisa Bucci said about the trio of systems in the hurricane center’s 8 a.m. Wednesday advisory:
Where is the disturbance in the Gulf?
“A broad area of low pressure could form in the central or western Gulf of Mexico by the beginning of next week,” the hurricane center advisory said. “Some slow development of this system is possible thereafter as it moves westward and approaches the western Gulf of Mexico coastline by the middle of next week.”
▪ Formation chance through 48 hours: near 0%.
▪ Formation chance through 7 days: 20%.
What about Disturbance 1?
A tropical wave is producing disorganized thunderstorms that were 750 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. The National Hurricane Center says a tropical depression could form over the next several days as the system moves west-northwest at 10 mph.
▪ Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%, up from 10% at the 8 p.m. Tuesday advisory.
▪ Formation chance through 7 days: 50%, up from 30% at the advisory.
What’s going on with Disturbance 2?
Another tropical wave is off Africa’s west coast and producing large showers and thunderstorms. It’s expected to move west-northwest at about 15 mph. By the end of Thursday, a low-pressure area is expected to form when this system is west of the Cabo Verde Islands.
“Further development of the low is possible, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend before environmental conditions become unfavorable early next week,” the advisory said.
▪ Formation chance through 48 hours: 20%, up from near 0% at 8 p.m. Tuesday advisory.
▪ Formation chance through 7 days: 40%, up from 30%. at the advisory.
Will they affect Mexico?
It’s too early to tell whether the three systems will have any impact.