The state of Baja California Sur has a less problematic political risk profile than many other areas of Mexico. The risk of organized crime-related violence (public shootouts, kidnapping of executives) in Baja California Sur is quite low. Poverty and marginalization are less extreme in Baja California Sur than in other parts of Mexico.
The risk of serious social unrest in Baja California Sur is relatively low. Expropriation risk is very low in Baja California Sur (and in other parts of Mexico.) In general, foreign-owned businesses in Baja California Sur are able to resolve potential corruption issues through government relations, liaising with business chambers, and working with lobbying firms.
Overall, Mexico’s political and economic framework is relatively stable and unlikely to suffer from major disruptions in the short or medium term. The political leadership in the tourism hub of Los Cabos, the state government in Baja California Sur, and the federal government in Mexico City are all members of the same party (Morena). The current dynamic is likely to hold stable for the next two years.
Although economic indicators and security dynamics may both worsen slightly, overall Mexico looks like it is on track to maintain stability in the medium term.
Baja California Sur’s governor, Victor Manuel Castro Cosio, was elected in 2021. He will serve through 2027. Castro Cosio is a member of the Morena party of Mexico’s President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador. Prior to joining Morena, he was a member of Lopez Obrador’s old party, the PRD.
Cosio is backed by a well-established political group including former members of the PRI party. One of the local power-brokers who supports him is Homero Davis Castro, who currently serves as the Secretary-General in the Baja California Sur state government.
Source: Forbes Mexico
