TABASCO, MEXICO.- In recent weeks, persistent rains devastated the state of Tabasco, breaking historical records that surpassed the records of the last 50 years.
More than 150 thousand people were affected by the rains in the entity. A total of 35,982 homes were damaged by the floods, and almost 10,000 citizens had to be evacuated and transferred to shelters.
Seven rivers overflowed, one of them, the Grijalva, in the city of Villahermosa; Despite the efforts of the population to contain the flow, the capacity of the tributary collapsed and the water entered nine colonies. At least 10 people lost their lives. Communities in the municipalities of Macuspana, Tacotalpa or Teapa were submerged under water.
Cold Front Number 9 -at the end of October-, tropical storm Eta and Cold Front 12 -last weekend- were the meteorological phenomena that caused this situation. The severe and incessant rains did not give Tabasco time to recover. And although these days the weather gave its inhabitants a break, a new frontal system is approaching the entity, and it will return to leave heavy rains for four days.
This was reported by the National Meteorological Service (SMN) in a special notice. The agency warned that on Sunday, November 15, a cold front will enter the north of Mexico that will advance towards the southeast of the Republic. At the same time, a trough line will be developed over the Gulf of Mexico that will increase the potential for rainfall in Tabasco, Chiapas, Veracruz and the Yucatan Peninsula.
It is expected that these events will leave between Sunday 15 and Wednesday 18 an accumulated that could exceed 250 millimeters in some parts of Tabasco, especially in the southern area. However, in a large part of the entity, these records are expected to total, in that four-day period, between 75 and 150 millimeters.
This is the day-to-day weather forecast, according to information issued by the climate agency of the National Water Commission (Conagua).
Sunday November 15
As we indicated, on Sunday a new cold front will enter the north of the national territory, while a trough line will form in the southwest of the Gulf of Mexico.
“These conditions are going to begin to increase the potential for rainfall during this day. We are estimating an accumulated amount of the order of 25 to 50 millimeters accumulated for the state of Tabasco, northern Chiapas and part of southern Veracruz, ”indicated the SMN.
These precipitations are considered “strong”. According to the climate agency, rains of five to 25 millimeters are also expected in the Yucatan Peninsula.
Monday, November 16
On Monday, the frontal system and its polar air mass will advance through the national territory, generating a drop in temperatures in northern Mexico, and already affecting the southeast of the Republic.
The most important rains are expected in the state of Veracruz, where between 75 and 150 millimeters could fall in 24 hours (heavy rainfall). In Tabasco, Chiapas and southern Veracruz, they will be in the order of 5 to 25 millimeters.
Tuesday, November 17
Then, the cold front will be located on the central-southern portion of Veracruz.
“The rains for Tuesday will be more intense for the state of Tabasco, with rainfall of the order of 50 to 75 millimeters accumulated in much of that state, likewise the north of Chiapas and the south of Veracruz,” said the SMN in your special notice.
In addition, 25 to 40 millimeters of rainfall could occur in southern Campeche, and in the northern and central portions of Veracruz.
Wednesday 18 November
For this day, the frontal system will already move over the Caribbean Sea and will gradually park in Quintana Roo and the island of Cuba. Despite its position, it will continue to affect Tabasco and southern Veracruz.
“There will be rainfall of the order of 25 to 50 millimeters accumulated in most of these states and with some specific maximums of 50 to 75 millimeters in the state of Tabasco and some regions of the state of Veracruz,” indicated the SMN.
Rain Accumulations Sunday through Wednesday
In that four-day period of continuous rain, accumulations in Tabasco are expected to be 250 millimeters. To make a comparison, on October 30 a historical maximum was registered in the entity, since in just 24 hours the rainfall reached 450 millimeters, according to data from Gerardo Alarcón Ferreira, meteorologist of the local direction of the National Commission of the Water (Conagua). This time it will be 250, but in 96 hours.
Until Sunday, according to the SMN, conditions will be stable in the southeast, with clear skies.